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[emergency truly strikes]--這是指甚麼事件 ?
妙寄子 2022/11/10
[emergency truly strikes]--這是指甚麼事件 ? 就是美元第二波升息[現在是第一波升息]，之後，會出現另一波巨大危機。這是指甚麼危機?
台灣海峽危機 ? 一點都沒有提到台灣..這就是一種暗示嗎 ? 我不知道。
未來的股市巨大波動..2024嗎? 台灣選總統。今年11月的台灣選舉是第一波，2024或是2026才是第二波巨浪。是嗎 ? 深刻的想一想。或是，中共的習近平會怎樣回擊美元 ?
。。。
investors expect them to rise by roughly one and a half percentage points by the spring. The economic pain from higher rates has yet to hit home. In forecasts published on October 11th the imf predicted that a third of the world economy would experience recession this year or next, with growth in America, Europe and China stalling.
That will translate into less demand for Apple handsets made in Vietnam and for Indian it services. Energy and metals producers reaped a bonanza after Russia invaded Ukraine, but they are unlikely to be spared if demand slows. And as the global financial system adjusts from cheap money to higher borrowing costs and a slowing economy, it could yet suffer the kind of dysfunction and investor panic that hurts financial markets in the rich world and emerging markets alike. Speaking on October 10th, Jamie Dimon, the boss of JPMorgan, America’s biggest lender, warned that the next percentage point of rate rises would be more painful than the first.
They may be tempted to use their foreign-reserve ammunition more quickly in order to defend their currencies and avoid raising interest rates at home. But they must resist that urge, so that they can save their reserves of firepower for the moment when emergency truly strikes.
參考資訊
Emerging markets have coped with the rate shock surprisingly well。But the real test is yet to come
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